Jadarian Price
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop· SEASettled: Hit
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 Longest Reception vs. Chargers
Longest Reception
You checked 25.5, an alternate line. Most books: 28.5.
LAC@SEAOct 4, 4:25 PM ET
The line
Over 25.5 longest reception
3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games
Last seen −120 at BetMGM, as of Oct 4, 3:52 PM ET · 4 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 25.5 longest reception won.
Final: 28.
Closing price −120 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
Hit rate vs the line
3of3
(100%)
Sep 9 – Sep 27
- 45
- 82
- 26
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
51.0vs 25.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over the last 3 games versus a line of 25.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 25.5
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 26 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 82 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 45 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
8 books
Closing price: BetMGM −120
Prices as of Oct 4, 3:52 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
BetRivers
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Caesars
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DraftKings
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Fanatics
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FanDuel
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Pinnacle
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theScore Bet
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Game context
The game behind the bet
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 41.8 longest reception average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Los Angeles Chargers
2026 season · 5 games
0–5
Record
16.8
Points / game
25.8
Allowed / game
Seattle Seahawks
Your selection
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 25.5 longest reception
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−120
Current
−120
Change
0
Best available moved from −120 to −120. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Matchup
Player stats for this market
- Longest Reception Average
- 41.8
- Receiving Yards Average
- 119.5
- Receptions Average
- 8.2
- Games Played
- 6
Pregame context
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Lumen Field
- Seattle, WA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 63°F40% precipitationGusts 7 mph
Game-day inactives
Seattle Seahawks
Chazz Surratt
LB · Calf ·
Ty Okada
S · Hamstring ·
Jalen Milroe
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Avery Smith
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Brandon Pili
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Los Angeles Chargers
Kayode Awosika
G · Lower Leg ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
DJ Uiagalelei
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Dalvin Tomlinson
DT · Hamstring ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- SEA -7
- Game total
- 42.5
- Seattle Seahawks
- −345
- Los Angeles Chargers
- +275
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Seattle Seahawks
- 73.9%
- Los Angeles Chargers
- 25.9%
Seattle Seahawks by 6.8
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Report: Seahawks place first-round running back Jadarian Price on IR (opens in a new tab)
First-round pick Jadarian Price was placed on IR Saturday due to a chest injury sustained in practice, ESPN's Adam Schefter reported.
The Seattle Seahawks are onto another running back. First-round pick Jadarian Price was placed on IR Saturday due to a chest injury sustained in practice, ESPN...
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Montorie Foster Jr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Los Angeles Chargers
Alex Harkey
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Charlie Kolar
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception at this number?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 25.5 longest reception in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%). Best price is −120 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 25.5 longest reception in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
What is the best price for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception?
−120 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 25.5 longest reception right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.