Isiah Pacheco
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Pending
T.J. Hockenson Over 15.5 Longest Reception vs. Lions
The bet: Over 15.5 longest reception
MIN@DET Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 15.5 in 4 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L6 average 15.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
4of6
(67%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 16
- 19
- 6
- 22
- 7
- 22
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
15.3vs 15.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
T.J. Hockenson longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 15.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 15.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsIND | Hit | 22 |
| Oct 11 | @NO | Miss | 7 |
| Oct 4 | vsMIA | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 27 | @TB | Miss | 6 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Hit | 19 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Hit | 16 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
T.J. Hockenson
- Longest reception per game
- 15.3
Season · 6 games
HOCKENSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
20.9%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
HOCKENSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
19.2%
2026 regular season6 games
HOCKENSON · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
4.5rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 15.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−111
Current
−110
Change
+1
Best available moved from −111 to −110. That pays $0.82 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Sources checked
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Detroit Lions
Kerby Joseph
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Minnesota Vikings
Jay Ward
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Aaron Jones Sr.
available
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about T.J. Hockenson Over 15.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for T.J. Hockenson Over 15.5 longest reception?
T.J. Hockenson hit over 15.5 longest reception in 4 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (67% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.