Marcellas Dial Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NE Settled: Hit
DeMario Douglas Over 9.5 Receiving Yards vs. Dolphins
The bet: Over 9.5 receiving yards
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 39.5.
NE@MIA Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 9.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 9 to Oct 22L7 average 36.6
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 9.5 receiving yards won.
Final: 76.
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 9 – Oct 22
- 20
- 9
- 38
- 15
- 65
- 86
- 23
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
36.6vs 9.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
DeMario Douglas receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 9.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 9.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | @CHI | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 18 | vsNYJ | Hit | 86 |
| Oct 11 | vsLV | Hit | 65 |
| Oct 4 | @BUF | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 27 | @JAX | Hit | 38 |
| Sep 20 | vsPIT | Miss | 9 |
| Sep 9 | @SEA | Hit | 20 |
What the data showed before the game
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
New England Patriots
Your selection
2026 season · 8 games
5–3
Record
23
Points / game
20.2
Allowed / game
Miami Dolphins
2026 season · 7 games
1–6
Record
16.7
Points / game
25.9
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 9.5 receiving yards
Closing price
Odds format
Open
−650
Current
−850
Change
−200
Best available moved from −650 to −850. That pays $3.62 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Miami Gardens, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 76°F66% precipitationGusts 13 mph
Game-day inactives
Miami Dolphins
Jaylin Simpson
S · Coach's Decision ·
Jared Wayne
WR · Coach's Decision ·
Kadyn Proctor
OT · Concussion ·
Justin Joly
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Jamree Kromah
DE · Coach's Decision ·
New England Patriots
Behren Morton
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Karon Prunty
CB · Coach's Decision ·
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · Illness ·
A.J. Brown
WR · Ankle ·
Channing Canada
CB · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- NE -7
- Game total
- 41.5
- Miami Dolphins
- +275
- New England Patriots
- −345
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Miami Dolphins
- 20%
- New England Patriots
- 80%
New England Patriots by 8.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- New England Patriots Announce Brutal Last-Second Injury News (opens in a new tab)
The New England Patriots ruled out wide receiver A.J. Brown and running back TreVeyon Henderson for Sunday’s game against the Miami Dolphins
The New England Patriots ruled out wide receiver A.J. Brown and running back TreVeyon Henderson for Sunday’s game against the Miami Dolphins
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
Elliott Davison
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Marcus Bryant
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about DeMario Douglas Over 9.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for DeMario Douglas Over 9.5 receiving yards?
DeMario Douglas hit over 9.5 receiving yards in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
What is the closing price for DeMario Douglas Over 9.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.