Ajani Cornelius
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop· DALSettled: Miss
CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 Receptions vs. Buccaneers
Receptions
You checked 5.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
TB@DALOct 8, 8:15 PM ET
The line
Over 5.5 receptions
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Last seen −195 at BetRivers, as of Oct 8, 8:10 PM ET · 4 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 5.5 receptions lost.
Final: 2.
Closing price −195 at BetRivers. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 5
- 8
- 7
- 17
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
9.3vs 5.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
CeeDee Lamb receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 5.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 5.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Miss | 5 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
8 books
Closing price: BetRivers −195 · 15¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 8, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
BetRivers
−195
(opens in a new tab)Quote as of Oct 8, 8:10 PM ETDraftKings
−208
(opens in a new tab)Quote as of Oct 8, 8:10 PM ETtheScore Bet
−210
(opens in a new tab)Quote as of Oct 8, 8:09 PM ETBetMGM
—
(opens in a new tab)View prices
Caesars
—
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Fanatics
—
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Pinnacle
—
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Game context
The game behind the bet
CeeDee Lamb: 7.8 receptions average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2026 season · 5 games
1–4
Record
20
Points / game
22.4
Allowed / game
Dallas Cowboys
Your selection
2026 season · 5 games
2–3
Record
27.6
Points / game
27.2
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 5.5 receptions
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−131
Current
−195
Change
−64
Best available moved from −131 to −195. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Matchup
Player stats for this market
- Receptions Average
- 7.8
- Targets Average
- 10.2
- Receiving Yards Average
- 101.4
- Catch Percentage Average
- 0.7
Pregame context
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallas Cowboys
Camden Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Antoine Winfield Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Baker Mayfield
out
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 receptions at this number?
CeeDee Lamb hit over 5.5 receptions in 3 of 4 games across the last 4 games (75%). Best price is −195 at BetRivers.
What is the historical hit rate for CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 receptions?
CeeDee Lamb hit over 5.5 receptions in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the best price for CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 receptions?
−195 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for CeeDee Lamb Over 5.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.