What does the data say about Jaylen Waddle 5+ receptions at this number?

Jaylen Waddle didn't record 5+ receptions in their last game. Best price is +123 at BetRivers, about 3.8% above model fair. The data leans 5+ receptions.

What is the best price for Jaylen Waddle 5+ receptions?

+125 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Jaylen Waddle 5+ receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after JAX @ DEN (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We strip the vig to estimate a fair price, then compare it with the best available offer. The summary shows what the data supports without treating any outcome as certain.

Prop check

Jaylen Waddle 5+ Receptions

JAX @ DENSep 20, 4:05 PM ET

Matchup

How Jaylen Waddle and the opponent line up for Receptions.

Jaylen Waddle

Receptions2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 1
Receptions2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 1
Receiving yards2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 2
Receiving yards2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 2
Catch rate2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 0.300
Catch rate2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 0.300

Targets2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 3
Targets2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 3
Team target share2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 0.111
Team air-yard share2026 regular season · Season · 1 game · Small sample: 0.125

Catch rate2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 0.300
Receiving air yards2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 13

Opponent

Receptions allowed2026 regular season · 1 game available · Small sample: 16

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over

EV +3.8%

L1Primary

0/1 decisions

Games played

Receptions Avg

Receptions Avg L5

Targets Avg

Targets Avg L5

Receiving Yards Avg

Market prices

Compare the exact 4.5 receptions line. Confirm the price at the sportsbook before betting.

Check

Over

−105

Under −125

Odds updated 2h ago

Book	Over	Under	Updated	Action
BetRivers Best	+123	—	Odds updated 2h ago	Check
FanDuel	+110	−146	Odds updated 2h ago	Check
theScore Bet	+110	−140	Odds updated 2h ago	Check
DraftKings	+105	−134	Odds updated 2h ago	Check
BetMGM	−105	−125	Odds updated 2h ago	Check

Line movement

5+ receptions

Odds movement for this exact line. The threshold stays fixed.

Open

+110

Current

+123

Change

+13

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Matchup

Supporting context

Market prices

Current books

BetRivers

FanDuel

theScore Bet

DraftKings

BetMGM