DJ Campbell
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop· CINSettled: Hit
Chase Brown Under 16.5 Carries vs. Dolphins
Carries
CIN@MIAOct 11, 1:00 PM ET
The line
Under 16.5 carries
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Last seen −132 at DraftKings, as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET · 3 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 16.5 carries won.
Final: 13.
Closing price −132 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 16
- 20
- 13
- 9
Carries per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
14.5vs 16.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Chase Brown carries over the last 4 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Carries |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsJAX | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 27 | @PIT | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 20 | @HOU | Miss | 20 |
| Sep 13 | vsTB | Hit | 16 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
8 books
Closing price: DraftKings −132 · 3¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:58 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
BetMGM
—
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BetRivers
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Caesars
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Fanatics
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FanDuel
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Pinnacle
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Game context
The game behind the bet
Chase Brown: 14.2 rushing attempts average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Cincinnati Bengals
Your selection
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
25.6
Points / game
21.8
Allowed / game
Miami Dolphins
2026 season · 5 games
0–5
Record
14
Points / game
26.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 16.5 carries
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−106
Current
−132
Change
−26
Best available moved from −106 to −132. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Matchup
Player stats for this market
- Rushing Attempts Average
- 14.2
- Rushing Yards Average
- 49.2
- Yards Per Carry Average
- 3.3
- Games Played
- 5
Pregame context
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Miami Gardens, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 91°F25% precipitationGusts 14 mph
Game-day inactives
Miami Dolphins
Reese Taylor
CB · Quadriceps ·
Justin Joly
TE · Concussion ·
Caleb Douglas
WR · Ankle ·
Chukwuebuka Godrick
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Kaytron Allen
RB · Coach's Decision ·
Cincinnati Bengals
Colbie Young
WR · Knee ·
Landon Robinson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Connor Lew
C · Coach's Decision ·
Kyle Dugger
S · Quadriceps ·
Jack Endries
TE · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- CIN -7
- Game total
- 44.5
- Miami Dolphins
- +280
- Cincinnati Bengals
- −355
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Miami Dolphins
- 18.7%
- Cincinnati Bengals
- 81.2%
Cincinnati Bengals by 9.2
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Reports to read
Source headlines only. Open the report to check the details; these articles have not been summarized in this Check.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals
Myles Hinton
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries at this number?
Chase Brown hit under 16.5 carries in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Best price is −132 at DraftKings.
What is the historical hit rate for Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries?
Chase Brown hit under 16.5 carries in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the best price for Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries?
−132 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Chase Brown Under 16.5 carries right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.