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NFL Props

Sunday, October 11, 2026 ET

NFL player props for Sunday, October 11, 2026 ET, ranked by how confident we are they'll hit. Confidence comes from recent hit rates — how often a player has gone over or under a line in their last 5 to 10 games. Brock Purdy leads this slate.

Top props by confidence(16)

Brock PurdyQBSF @ SEA
15+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−185 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Brock PurdyQBSF @ SEA
20+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−106 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Geno SmithQBCLE @ NYJ
200+Pass + Rush YardsMedium
Hit 3 of last 3−195 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Justin HerbertQBDEN @ LAC
180+Passing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−194 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Daniel JonesQBIND @ PIT
1+Passing TDsMedium
Hit 3 of last 3−343 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Kirk CousinsQBLV @ NE
230+Passing YardsMedium
Hit 3 of last 3−109 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Trevor LawrenceQBPHI @ JAX
Under 19.5Pass CompletionsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−121 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Trevor LawrenceQBPHI @ JAX
16+Pass CompletionsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−596 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Trevor LawrenceQBPHI @ JAX
14+Pass CompletionsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−2200 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Rome OdunzeWRCHI @ GB
40+Receiving YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−105 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Geno SmithQBCLE @ NYJ
180+Passing YardsMedium
Hit 3 of last 3−236 @ DraftKingsUpdated 1h ago
Bhayshul TutenRBPHI @ JAX
45+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−400 @ theScore BetUpdated 1h ago
Bhayshul TutenRBPHI @ JAX
35+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−1000 @ theScore BetUpdated 1h ago
Bhayshul TutenRBPHI @ JAX
65+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−125 @ theScore BetUpdated 1h ago
Bhayshul TutenRBPHI @ JAX
20+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−5000 @ theScore BetUpdated 1h ago
Brock PurdyQBSF @ SEA
5+Rushing YardsMedium
Hit 4 of last 4−1100 @ FanDuelUpdated 1h ago

What stands out

16 props tracked for this date.

Get exact confidence scores, EV%, all sportsbook odds, and full trend charts for every prop.

Frequently asked questions

How are NFL props ranked on this page?

Every prop is ranked by confidence, which comes from how consistently a player has hit a line in recent NFL games. A player who's gone over their yardage line in 9 of the last 10 games gets a higher confidence rating than someone at 5 of 10. We also factor in streaks and matchup context.

What do hit rates like "8/10 L10" mean?

"8/10 L10" means the prop hit in 8 of the player's last 10 NFL games. L5 is last 5 games. The higher the hit rate over a larger sample, the more reliable the trend. WagerLens tracks hit rates across 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10-game windows.

What happens to this page after NFL games on Sunday, October 11, 2026 ET finish?

Once games wrap up, this page updates to show results. Each prop gets a Hit or Miss tag based on the actual stat line. You can browse past dates to see how NFL props performed and spot which markets hit most often.