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Research check

MLB player prop· SEA

Settled: Hit

Bryce Miller Over 1.5 Earned Runs

Earned Runs

LAA @ SEASep 25, 10:11 PM ET
The line

Over 1.5ER

Final · graded Sep 26

Hit · Actual: 5 Earned Runs · Line 1.5 · Closing price −134 at DraftKings

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 25, 10:11 PM ETLos Angeles Angels1.5−134hit

Hit rate vs the line

8of10

(80%)

Last 10 starts · Jul 24 – Sep 19

  1. 5
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 5
  5. 5
  6. 6
  7. 1
  8. 4
  9. 2
  10. 0

Earned Runs per start, oldest → newest

L10 average

3.4vs 1.5 line

L5: 2.6

Price move · Over 1.5

−134−129

Best available · open → recorded

Recorded best price

others −135DraftKings−129

Data as of Sep 25, 9:21 PM ET · recorded prices, shown for research only

Game results

Bryce Miller earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 1.5.

Results versus the line

L10
HitMissL10

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

LAA @ SEA

Sep 25, 10:11 PM ET

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over
What's the vig on this price? →
Odds format

Open

−134

Current

−129

Change

+5

Best available moved from −134 to −129. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.

Recorded books

2 books

Best price: DraftKings −129 · 6¢ better than BetMGM

DraftKings
−129

Under −103

DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.
BetMGM
−135

Under +100

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
EV −5.5%
L5

60%

3/5 decisions

L10Primary

80%

8/10 decisions

Games played

22

ERA

4.32

IP

114.7

Er L1

5

Er Avg L3

2.333

Er Avg L5

2.4

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