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Research check

MLB player prop· SEA

Settled: Hit

Bryce Miller Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Earned Runs

TEX @ SEASep 8, 9:41 PM ET
The line

Over 2.5ER

Final · graded Sep 15

Hit · Actual: 4 Earned Runs · Line 2.5 · Closing price +125 at BetMGM

Past games

DateOpponentLineClosing priceResult
Sep 8, 9:41 PM ETTexas Rangers2.5+125hit

Hit rate vs the line

4of5

(80%)

Last 5 starts · Aug 6 – Sep 2

  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 5
  4. 6
  5. 1

Earned Runs per start, oldest → newest

L5 average

4.2vs 2.5 line

L10: 3.4

Price move · Over 2.5

+125+120

Best available · open → recorded

Recorded best price

BetMGM+120

Data as of Sep 8, 9:27 PM ET · recorded prices, shown for research only

Game results

Bryce Miller earned runs over the last 5 games versus a line of 2.5.

Results versus the line

L5
HitMissL5

What the data showed before the game

The game behind the bet

TEX @ SEA

Sep 8, 9:41 PM ET

Market movement

These recorded prices are shown for research only.

Price history

Over
What's the vig on this price? →
Odds format

Open

+125

Current

+120

Change

−5

Best available moved from +125 to +120. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.

Recorded books

1 books

Best price: BetMGM +120

BetMGM
+120

Under −160

BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.

Supporting context

Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.

Over
L5Primary

80%

4/5 decisions

L10

60%

6/10 decisions

Games played

22

ERA

4.32

IP

114.7

Er L1

5

Er Avg L3

2.333

Er Avg L5

2.4

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