Prop check
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
KC @ HOUSep 17, 7:16 PM ET
Settled: Hit
Final · graded Sep 24
Hit · Actual: 4 Earned Runs · Line 2.5 · Closing price −131 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 7:16 PM ET | Houston Astros | 2.5 | −131 | hit |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
KC @ HOU
Sep 17, 7:16 PM ET
Game results
Seth Lugo earned runs over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Record
5/7
Hit rate
71%
L7 average
4.0
HitMissL7
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over
Odds format
Open
−134
Current
−131
Change
+3
Best available moved from −134 to −131. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Recorded books
2 books
Best price: DraftKings −131 · 9¢ better than BetMGM
DraftKings
−131
Under −101
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.BetMGM
−140
Under +100
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Over
EV −5.3%
L5
60%
3/5 decisions
L7Primary
71%
5/7 decisions
L10
70%
7/10 decisions
Games played
32
ERA
5.26
IP
169.3
Er L1
4
Er Avg L3
3.333
Er Avg L5
4.4
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