Prop check
Brandon Pfaadt Under 2.5 Earned Runs
TEX @ ARISep 12, 8:11 PM ET
Settled: Miss
Final · graded Sep 13
Miss · Actual: 6 Earned Runs · Line 2.5 · Closing price −105 at DraftKings
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 8:11 PM ET | Texas Rangers | 2.5 | −105 | miss |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
TEX @ ARI
Sep 12, 8:11 PM ET
Game results
Brandon Pfaadt earned runs over the last 10 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Record
7/10
Hit rate
70%
L10 average
1.8
HitMissL10
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under
Odds format
Open
+100
Current
−108
Change
−8
Best available moved from +100 to −108. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Recorded books
1 books
Best price: BetMGM −125
BetMGM
−125
Over −110
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
Under
EV −3.7%
L5
40%
2/5 decisions
L10Primary
70%
7/10 decisions
Games played
29
ERA
3.93
IP
130.4
Er L1
4
Er Avg L3
3.667
Er Avg L5
3.2
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