
Prop check
Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 Hits Allowed
Final · graded Sep 26
Miss · Actual: 7 Hits · Line 4.5 · Closing price −120 at BetMGM
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 6:46 PM ET | New York Mets | 4.5 | −120 | miss |
| Sep 19, 7:16 PM ET | St. Louis Cardinals | 4.5 | +125 | miss |
| Sep 12, 4:06 PM ET | Los Angeles Angels | 4.5 | −143 | hit |
What the data showed before the game
The game behind the bet
NYM @ WAS
Sep 25, 6:46 PM ET
Game results
Andrew Alvarez hits allowed over the last 10 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Record
8/10
Hit rate
80%
L10 average
3.3
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−101
Current
−120
Change
−19
Best available moved from −101 to −120. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Recorded books
Best price: BetMGM −120 · 23¢ better than DraftKings
Over −110
BetMGM quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Over +100
theScore Bet quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Over +108
DraftKings quote is stale. Check the current price at the book.Supporting context
Use the primary read window with the longer trend and season-level player stats.
60%
3/5 decisions
80%
8/10 decisions
Games played
25
ERA
3.58
IP
108
H L1
7
H Avg L3
4.333
H Avg L5
3.8
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