MLB player prop· STLSettled: Miss
Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs vs. White Sox
Pitcher Outs
You checked 16.5, an alternate line. Most books: 15.5.
Over 16.5 pitcher outs
4 of 10 decided (40%) · last 10 games
Last seen −110 at BetMGM, as of Sep 11, 7:50 PM ET · 3 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 16.5 pitcher outs lost.
Final: 13.
Closing price −110 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
Hit rate vs the line
4of10
(40%)
Jul 11 – Sep 5
- 18
- 16
- 11
- 18
- 15
- 16
- 18
- 12
- 17
- 13
Outs per start, oldest to newest
L10 average
15.4vs 16.5 line
Based on 10 starts
Game results
Matthew Liberatore outs over the last 10 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L10, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Outs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | COL | Miss | 13 |
| Aug 30 | PIT | Hit | 17 |
| Aug 25 | BAL | Miss | 12 |
| Aug 19 | CIN | Hit | 18 |
| Aug 14 | CHC | Miss | 16 |
| Aug 8 | COL | Miss | 15 |
| Aug 2 | TOR | Hit | 18 |
| Jul 27 | CHC | Miss | 11 |
| Jul 21 | LAA | Miss | 16 |
| Jul 11 | ATL | Hit | 18 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetMGM −110 · 2¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Sep 11, 7:50 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−112
Current
−110
Change
+2
Best available moved from −112 to −110. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average outs | vs 16.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 15.2 | -1.3 |
| L10 | 15.4 | -1.1 |
Games played
31
ERA
5.4
IP
150.1
Outs L1
17
Outs Avg L3
16
Outs Avg L5
15.6
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 pitcher outs at this number?
Matthew Liberatore hit over 16.5 pitcher outs in 4 of his last 10 tracked games (40%). Best price is −110 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 pitcher outs?
Matthew Liberatore hit over 16.5 pitcher outs in 4 of 10 games across the last 10 games (40% hit rate).
What is the best price for Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 pitcher outs?
−110 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 pitcher outs right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.