Bill Murray
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Miss
Harrison Mevis Under 3.5 PATs Made vs. Bills
PATs Made
You checked 3.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
BUF@LAR Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
The line
Under 3.5 pats made
Price context
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Last seen −235 at BetMGM, as of Oct 12, 7:55 PM ET · 2 books last observed
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Harrison Mevis hit under 3.5 pats made in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 3.5 pats made lost.
Final: 4.
Closing price −235 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
Hit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
- 1
- 4
- 2
- 3
PATs Made per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
2.5vs 3.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Harrison Mevis pats made over the last 4 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 3.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | PATs Made |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Miss | 4 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Hit | 1 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
1 recorded quotes
Closing price: BetMGM −235
Prices as of Oct 12, 7:55 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
The game behind the bet
Harrison Mevis: 2.8 points after touchdown made average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
2026 season · 5 games
4–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.2
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Rams
Your selection
2026 season · 5 games
2–3
Record
23.8
Points / game
24
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 3.5 pats made
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−235
Current
−235
Change
0
Best available moved from −235 to −235. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Matchup
Player stats for this market
- Points After Touchdown Made Average
- 2.8
- Points After Touchdown Attempted Average
- 2.8
- Games Played
- 5
Pregame context
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback (opens in a new tab)
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills
play for the Rams against the Buffalo Bills
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
CJ Daniels
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Harrison Mevis Under 3.5 pats made at this number?
Harrison Mevis hit under 3.5 pats made in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%). Best price is −235 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Harrison Mevis Under 3.5 pats made?
Harrison Mevis hit under 3.5 pats made in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
What is the best price for Harrison Mevis Under 3.5 pats made?
−235 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Harrison Mevis Under 3.5 pats made right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.