C.J. Gardner-Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BAL Pending
Zay Flowers Under 27.5 Longest Reception vs. Bills
The bet: Under 27.5 longest reception
BAL@BUF Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 27.5 in 2 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L6 average 37.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
2of6
(33%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 54
- 27
- 52
- 12
- 31
- 48
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
37.3vs 27.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Zay Flowers longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 27.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 27.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsCIN | Miss | 48 |
| Oct 18 | @CLE | Miss | 31 |
| Oct 11 | @ATL | Hit | 12 |
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Miss | 52 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Hit | 27 |
| Sep 13 | @IND | Miss | 54 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Zay Flowers
- Longest reception per game
- 37.3
Season · 6 games
Zay Flowers
FLOWERS · TEAM TARGET SHARE
31.4%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
FLOWERS · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
32.9%
2026 regular season6 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, BUF
BAL 7, BUF 14
Market movement
Price history
Under 27.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−122
Current
−115
Change
+7
Best available moved from −122 to −115. That pays $4.99 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills (opens in a new tab)
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Buffalo Bills
Tyrell Shavers
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Baltimore Ravens
Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylinn Hawkins
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Zay Flowers Under 27.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Zay Flowers Under 27.5 longest reception?
Zay Flowers hit under 27.5 longest reception in 2 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (33% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.