C.J. Gardner-Johnson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop BAL Pending
Derrick Henry Over 7.5 Receiving Yards vs. Bills
The bet: Over 7.5 receiving yards
BAL@BUF Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 7.5 in 3 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L7 average 9.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
3of7
(43%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 19
- 19
- 0
- 6
- 18
- 2
- 4
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
9.7vs 7.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Derrick Henry receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 7.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 7.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsCIN | Miss | 4 |
| Oct 18 | @CLE | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 11 | @ATL | Hit | 18 |
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Miss | 6 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Hit | 19 |
| Sep 13 | @IND | Hit | 19 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Derrick Henry
- Receiving yards per game
- 9.7
Season · 7 games
Derrick Henry
HENRY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
6.1%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
HENRY · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
1.4rec/game
2026 regular season7 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, BUF
BAL 7, BUF 14
Market movement
Price history
Over 7.5 receiving yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
−106
Current
−107
Change
−1
Best available moved from −106 to −107. That pays $0.88 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills (opens in a new tab)
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson to return from injury against Bills
sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Buffalo Bills
Tyrell Shavers
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Baltimore Ravens
Adam Randall
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylinn Hawkins
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Derrick Henry Over 7.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Derrick Henry Over 7.5 receiving yards?
Derrick Henry hit over 7.5 receiving yards in 3 of 7 games across the last 7 games (43% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.