NFL player prop· GBPending
Christian Watson Over 4.5 Receptions vs. Cowboys
Receptions
Over 4.5 receptions
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Last seen −120 at BetRivers, as of Oct 14, 9:38 AM ET · 3 books quoting
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All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
2of3
(67%)
Sep 24 – Oct 11
- 7
- 3
- 6
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L3 average
5.3vs 4.5 line
Based on 3 games
Game results
Christian Watson receptions over the last 3 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L3, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 7 |
Sportsbooks
Last seen best price: BetRivers −120
Prices as of Oct 14, 9:38 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Game context
The game behind the bet
Christian Watson: 5.2 receptions (Season · 5 games). Dallas Cowboys: 58 58 receptions allowed to wide receivers, (5 games), rank 20 (Season · 5 games).
Team comparison
Dallas Cowboys
2026 season · 5 games
2–3
Record
27.6
Points / game
27.2
Allowed / game
Green Bay Packers
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
20.8
Points / game
22.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
Price history
Open
−130
Current
−120
Change
+10
Best available moved from −130 to −120. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Matchup
Market matchup
Christian Watson
- Receptions
- 5.2
- Targets
- 8
Season · 5 games
Season · 5 games
Dallas Cowboys
- 58 receptions allowed to wide receivers, (5 games), rank 20
- 58
Season · 5 games
Pregame context
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions at this number?
Christian Watson hit over 4.5 receptions in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67%). Best price is −120 at BetRivers.
What is the historical hit rate for Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions?
Christian Watson hit over 4.5 receptions in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
What is the best price for Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions?
−120 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.