NFL player prop· DALPending
Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 Receptions vs. Packers
Receptions
Over 3.5 receptions
1 of 5 decided (20%) · last 5 games
Last seen +112 at BetRivers, as of Oct 14, 9:38 AM ET · 3 books quoting
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All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
1of5
(20%)
Sep 13 – Oct 8
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 3
- 3
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
3.0vs 3.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Jake Ferguson receptions over the last 5 games versus a line of 3.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Miss | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Miss | 2 |
Sportsbooks
Last seen best price: BetRivers +112
Prices as of Oct 14, 9:38 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Game context
The game behind the bet
Jake Ferguson: 3 receptions (Season · 5 games). Green Bay Packers: 20 20 receptions allowed to tight ends, (5 games), rank 5 (Season · 5 games).
Team comparison
Dallas Cowboys
2026 season · 5 games
2–3
Record
27.6
Points / game
27.2
Allowed / game
Green Bay Packers
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
20.8
Points / game
22.4
Allowed / game
Market movement
Price history
Open
−120
Current
+112
Change
+32
Best available moved from −120 to +112. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Matchup
Market matchup
Jake Ferguson
- Receptions
- 3
- Targets
- 4.2
Season · 5 games
Season · 5 games
Green Bay Packers
- 20 receptions allowed to tight ends, (5 games), rank 5
- 20
Season · 5 games
Pregame context
Matchup updates
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 receptions at this number?
Jake Ferguson hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of 5 games across the last 5 games (20%). Best price is +112 at BetRivers.
What is the historical hit rate for Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 receptions?
Jake Ferguson hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of 5 games across the last 5 games (20% hit rate).
What is the best price for Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 receptions?
+112 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.