MLB player prop· CLESettled: Miss
Parker Messick Over 5.5 Strikeouts vs. Twins
Strikeouts
Over 5.5 strikeouts
5 of 7 decided (71%) · last 7 games
Last seen +125 at BetMGM, as of Sep 11, 7:50 PM ET · 3 books quoting
Showing saved research.
Settled: Over 5.5 strikeouts lost.
Final: 5.
Closing price +125 at BetMGM. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 7 (71%) in the last 7.
Hit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Aug 1 – Sep 5
- 6
- 8
- 6
- 10
- 4
- 5
- 12
Ks per start, oldest to newest
L7 average
7.3vs 5.5 line
Based on 7 starts
Game results
Parker Messick ks over the last 7 games versus a line of 5.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Ks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | DET | Hit | 12 |
| Aug 30 | KC | Miss | 5 |
| Aug 24 | LAA | Miss | 4 |
| Aug 19 | SF | Hit | 10 |
| Aug 13 | DET | Hit | 6 |
| Aug 7 | CWS | Hit | 8 |
| Aug 1 | AZ | Hit | 6 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
Closing price: BetMGM +125 · 18¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Sep 11, 7:50 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
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Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Open
−104
Current
+125
Change
+29
Best available moved from −104 to +125. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Supporting context
Compare recent averages with the line and season stats.
| Window | Average ks | vs 5.5 line |
|---|---|---|
| L5 | 7.4 | +1.9 |
Games played
35
ERA
2.69
IP
191
So L1
3
So Avg L3
4.667
So Avg L5
4.2
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Parker Messick Over 5.5 strikeouts at this number?
Parker Messick hit over 5.5 strikeouts in 5 of his last 7 tracked games (71%). Best price is +125 at BetMGM.
What is the historical hit rate for Parker Messick Over 5.5 strikeouts?
Parker Messick hit over 5.5 strikeouts in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the best price for Parker Messick Over 5.5 strikeouts?
+125 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Parker Messick Over 5.5 strikeouts right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.