Bill Murray
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Dalton Kincaid Under 55.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
You checked 55.5, an alternate line. Most books: 53.5.
BUF@LAR Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
The line
Under 55.5 receiving yards
Price context
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Last seen −113 at FanDuel, as of Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET · 5 books last observed
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
WagerLens read
Verified facts
Dalton Kincaid hit under 55.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Settled: Under 55.5 receiving yards won.
Final: 7.
Closing price −113 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Los Angeles Rams | 55.5 | −113 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
- 130
- 95
- 38
- 7
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
67.5vs 55.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Dalton Kincaid receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 55.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 55.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 38 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Miss | 95 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Miss | 130 |
What the data showed before the game
Sportsbooks
1 recorded quotes
Closing price: FanDuel −113
Prices as of Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
The game behind the bet
Dalton Kincaid: 55.4 receiving yards average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Team comparison
Buffalo Bills
Your selection
2026 season · 5 games
4–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.2
Allowed / game
Los Angeles Rams
2026 season · 5 games
2–3
Record
23.8
Points / game
24
Allowed / game
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Under 55.5 receiving yards
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−105
Current
−105
Change
0
Best available moved from −105 to −105. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Matchup
Player stats for this market
- Receiving Yards Average
- 55.4
- Receptions Average
- 3.2
- Targets Average
- 4.2
- Games Played
- 5
Pregame context
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Latest sourced reports
- Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback (opens in a new tab)
against the Buffalo Bills
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Rams
CJ Daniels
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Dalton Kincaid Under 55.5 receiving yards at this number?
Dalton Kincaid hit under 55.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
What is the historical hit rate for Dalton Kincaid Under 55.5 receiving yards?
Dalton Kincaid hit under 55.5 receiving yards in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
What is the best price for Dalton Kincaid Under 55.5 receiving yards?
−113 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Dalton Kincaid Under 55.5 receiving yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.