Every betting service claims a winning record. Almost none of them will show you the month they got wrecked.
The WagerLens track record is public, needs no account, and includes the losing months. This guide explains how the numbers are calculated. More importantly, it explains what's excluded, because that's where records usually get inflated.
What's on the page
Four headline numbers, then the breakdowns.
| Metric | Definition |
|---|---|
| Record | Wins–losses–pushes across settled recommendations, with voids excluded and counted separately |
| Win rate | Wins divided by wins plus losses |
| Net units | Profit and loss in units, using the units originally assigned to each pick |
| Settled picks | How many recommendations have resolved, with pending shown alongside |
Below that: monthly net units for every month since the record began, a current form panel for the current and prior month, and a list of recent settled picks.
The page also carries an "updated" timestamp and states where the historical record ends and automatic tracking begins. Those are two different data-collection regimes and the page distinguishes them rather than blending them into one clean line.
The rules that make it honest
Four stated rules do most of the work:
Picks keep their original line, odds, sportsbook, and units. A pick recommended at −120 is graded at −120. It can't be quietly regraded at a better closing number, and a 0.5u pick can't be retroactively promoted to 1u because it won.
Win rate excludes pushes and voids. Net units includes every settled result. A push is not a win. Counting pushes as wins is the oldest trick in tout math and it can move a mediocre record several points.
Open picks never appear in the public results ledger. A pick only enters the record once it settles. Nothing sits in limbo waiting to see how it turns out.
Every month is shown, including losing ones. The monthly breakdown isn't filtered to the good stretches. If a month was negative, it's on the chart at its actual value.
Reading it without fooling yourself
Win rate alone tells you almost nothing
A 54% win rate is excellent on −110 sides and terrible on heavy favorites. Break-even at −110 is 52.4%; at −200 it's 66.7%. Win rate only means something once you know what prices produced it.
Net units is the number that matters. It already accounts for what each pick paid.
Check the sample
Several hundred settled picks is a real sample. Forty is not. The page shows the settled count next to the record precisely so you can weigh it. A great two-month run and a great two-year run are different claims.
Look at the worst month, not the best
The monthly chart's most useful bar is the biggest negative one. That's your realistic picture of a bad stretch, and it's what you'd have needed the bankroll and the stomach to sit through. Anyone can look at the good months.
Past results don't predict future ones
Standard disclaimer, but it's true in a specific way here: markets adapt, seasons differ, and a strategy that worked in one price environment can stop working when the books tighten. The record is evidence about what happened, not a forecast.
This is not your record
Two separate ledgers, and they will not match:
| Public track record | My Bets | |
|---|---|---|
| Whose bets | WagerLens published recommendations | Bets you tracked |
| Who's included | Everyone sees the same numbers | Only you |
| Prices used | The price at publication | The price you actually took |
| Access | Public, no account | Premium |
If you bet every recommendation at exactly the published price you'd approximate the public record. Nobody does that. You'll skip some, you'll get worse prices on others, and you'll bet plenty of things we never published. Your number is yours.
Which is the point of keeping both. The public record tells you whether our recommendations are worth following. Your record tells you whether your decisions are working.
What's deliberately excluded
- Open picks. Not yet settled, not in the ledger.
- Voids. Excluded from the record and reported separately.
- Pushes. Excluded from win rate, included in the units math.
- Anything not published as an official recommendation. Research on the props board isn't a pick. Only published recommendations enter the ledger.
Where to go next
- WagerLens Picks guide — what a recommendation is and how to read one
- My Bets and bet tracking guide — build your own record on the same logic
- WagerLens confidence score explained — the signal behind the labels
- View the track record
Last reviewed: September 5, 2026 · Owner: Brian McAbee